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Originally Posted by Jim41
I was surprised by Romney's choice of Ryan. I think that Romney is a very smart person.
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As we all know, translating intelligence into politics doesn't always fit. I've suspected for years that the two are mutually exclusive. At every elective office, you need to give something up... intelligence, your soul, your backbone, etc. By the time you reach the top, there isn't a whole lot left.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim41
I suspect that he knows something we don't.
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I'm sure he's being told things we're not aware of. But I'm completely unconvinced that Ryan is capable of bringing in too many voters who are currently sitting on the fence. I mean, * I * am one of those undecided voters, and bringing in a staunch conservative onto the ticket isn't doing much to sway me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim41
Something that is contrary to the conventional wisdom. One possibility is that he has polling data indicating that he is competing well among independents but is weak among strong conservatives.
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If such polling data existed, I'm quite certain some news outlet or another would publish it. I haven't seen it, but then I have more important things to do than see how either candidate is doing in the polls.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim41
So he could be positioning himself to draw more votes from this segment of the Republician party.
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This makes sense. He wants to draw in ALL of the Republican party.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim41
I expect it to be a very close election.
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Unless something interesting comes up between now and then, it WILL be a close election. I don't think either candidate is capable of receiving a so-called 'mandate' from the voters. It's going to be a matter of which candidate leaves less of a bitter aftertaste, just like last time.