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World News and Events Mother gives birth to bigfoot-like child! Africa sinks! If it happens you'll read it here

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Old 06-01-2009, 08:01 AM
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Default Airfrance Missing Plane

Air France Jet Carrying 228 Missing Over Atlantic Ocean - International News | News of the World | Middle East News | Europe News - FOXNews.com

FlightAware > News > Air France Airbus A330 disappears over Atlantic en route from Brazil to France

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Old 06-01-2009, 09:15 AM
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Local Interactive Weather Map for Fortaleza, Brazil - weather.com

Aviation Weather : Weather Underground

Live webcam in SÃO LUIS, Brazil

Manary Praia Hotel

Looks like a stormy SOB

Can't download archived ATC feeds.

Last seen between these islands. ACME Mapper 2.0
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Old 06-01-2009, 10:50 AM
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Good God!! Didn't take long.

Air France Flight 447 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Old 06-01-2009, 10:56 AM
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They don't use FANS/A down there, do they?
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Old 06-01-2009, 12:05 PM
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This will be very sad and yet interesting to follow. The Airbus A330 is fairly new by industry standards and has a pretty good safety record. Electrical failure and pressure loss are a nasty combination for any pilot to deal with. God, my heart goes out to all those affected.

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Old 06-01-2009, 03:26 PM
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Definitely a sad day. Prayers go out to the family of the victims.

Wondering if there would be some form of ATC recording. Looks like last contact was to the Brazilian control since they were switching to Senegal.

Time line
2230 GMT Sunday Flight AF447 takes off from Rio's Airport do Galeao
0133 GMT Monday Plane makes last contact with Brazilian air traffic control
0148 GMT Plane disappears from radar
0320 GMT Plane fails to make scheduled radio contact
0530 GMT Brazilian Air Force launches search
0910 GMT Plane fails to make scheduled landing in Paris

That must have been one catastrophic electrical failure. Most of this route is 'out of radar' range so they didn't have a chance to switch transponder to 7700.
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Old 06-01-2009, 09:10 PM
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Lightning strikes almost never cause system failures much less complete electrical failures. Even if it did, electrical failures don't cause commercial aircraft to crash. They are designed to deal with complete loss of electrical generation. Commercial aircraft are struck by lightning ever week across the US, I have experienced it twice myself in aircraft I was flying.

There is something else going on here. Fire on board?(fire would be far more likely to cause electrical problems then lightning) in flight breakup in extreme turbulence?(where there is lightning there is sever or great turbulence)
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Old 06-01-2009, 10:15 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by immelmen View Post
Lightning strikes almost never cause system failures much less complete electrical failures. Even if it did, electrical failures don't cause commercial aircraft to crash. They are designed to deal with complete loss of electrical generation. Commercial aircraft are struck by lightning ever week across the US, I have experienced it twice myself in aircraft I was flying.

There is something else going on here. Fire on board?(fire would be far more likely to cause electrical problems then lightning) in flight breakup in extreme turbulence?(where there is lightning there is sever or great turbulence)

Agreed!


Quote:
There is something else going on here.
Air-Bus...
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Old 06-01-2009, 10:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rad1oreference View Post

That must have been one catastrophic electrical failure. Most of this route is 'out of radar' range so they didn't have a chance to switch transponder to 7700.
In a way, the pilot's did squawk 7600...
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Old 06-02-2009, 12:20 AM
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Flying over the mideast, we experienced St Elmo's fire on many occasions and the mid east is notorious for their storms but nothing major happens even when you see the static electricity on the windshield. The A-330 has a 16:1 glide ratio but even at FL 370 was too far to the land. My take it that the electric systems went dead, coupled with hydraulics which made controlling the aircraft very difficult in a storm situation.

A spin followed and/or the structure of the aircraft broke under heavy pressure. Open to scenarios.
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Old 06-02-2009, 02:35 AM
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I was just thinking of St. Elmos too! There's 's a good video on Youtube showing it.

Hydraulics is something I thought might be part of it. Speculation is that something may have went wrong with the ADIRU too.


Looks like wreckage may have been found according to Brazilian Press.

Google Translate


Indicating 2 Americans on board if you follow the links.


Search craft.
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Vast Search of Atlantic Ocean for Air France Jet - International News | News of the World | Middle East News | Europe News - FOXNews.com


AFP: Air France flight vanishes after multiple breakdowns

Doubts over lightning's role in missing jetliner | Reuters


20,000 foot depth they can hold up to!
NTSB - CVR & FDR


Air France 447 - AFR447 - A detailed meteorological analysis - Satellite and weather data
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Old 06-02-2009, 02:44 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rad1oreference View Post
My take it that the electric systems went dead, coupled with hydraulics which made controlling the aircraft very difficult in a storm situation.

A spin followed and/or the structure of the aircraft broke under heavy pressure. Open to scenarios.
that means all five generators failed, the RAT failed, both hot battery buses lost power, the backup hot battery bus lost power, the PMA's all failed, and all four hydraulic pumps failed?? all at the same time?? Even in a scarebus that would be a stretch. A twin engine turbojet has at least 8 electrical systems(including each hot battery bus and the APU as a system) that are all independent of each other. The only thing that could come close to getting them all would be a fire on the buses(SwissAir 111). Also, a spin in an airbus would be all but impossible. The FCS/SPS wont let the AOA get that high.
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Old 06-02-2009, 02:49 AM
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Lightbulb

Interesting. I've tried this in Flightsim before, but never thought it could be done in real life.

Quote:
An Air Transit A330-243 completed what is thought to be the world's longest recorded glide over the Atlantic Ocean after a fuel leak resulted in both engines shutting down.

For nearly half an hour the plane glided powerless. It remained airborne for 65 nautical miles before landing in the Azores. There were no injuries.

The plane can carry up to 293 passengers depending on the seat configuration. It has a range of 12,500km.
Twin-Engine Jet Accident 'Bound To Happen': Ex BA Captain Tells Sky News Range Had Been Stretched | World News | Sky News


So four is better than 2, huh. Who da thunk?
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Old 06-02-2009, 02:59 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by immelmen View Post
that means all five generators failed, the RAT failed, both hot battery buses lost power, the backup hot battery bus lost power, the PMA's all failed, and all four hydraulic pumps failed?? all at the same time?? Even in a scarebus that would be a stretch. A twin engine turbojet has at least 8 electrical systems(including each hot battery bus and the APU as a system) that are all independent of each other. The only thing that could come close to getting them all would be a fire on the buses(SwissAir 111). Also, a spin in an airbus would be all but impossible. The FCS/SPS wont let the AOA get that high.
It's kinda why I hyphenated Air-Bus.

Perhaps the computer system went south.

Batteries only last so long. How is the ram air turbine deployed?

Carbon fiber might be a vector for lightning to cause a fire?
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Old 06-02-2009, 03:58 AM
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Have any HFDL listeners come up with data from the flight? There were about four minutes of exchanges between Air France maintenance and the aircraft, during which the flying machine automatically reported equipment and system failures.

If anyone had their receivers up and running with something like PC-HFDL, they may have some or all of the data. Now, the '330 may also have had satcom. If so, then the datalinking could have gone that way instead over HF.

Seems that the crew had too much of a battle on their hands to make a distress call.

Propagation was pretty good over the last couple of days, so it is plausible that someone may have Air France 447 in their HFDL logs.
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Old 06-02-2009, 04:15 AM
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I believe the data did go over satcom...
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Old 06-02-2009, 07:07 AM
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Crash: Air France A332 over Atlantic on June 1st 2009, aircraft lost

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Old 06-02-2009, 07:28 AM
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Quote:
Although safety experts discounted the possibility that lightning brought down Flight 447, several said that storms and winds that accompany lightning could have severely damaged the 4-year-old plane or caused pilots to lose control.

Aircraft wiring expert Ed Block said in-flight turbulence could cause electrical wires to rub against one another, cracking the wire insulation and leading to an electrical failure or fire. From 1999 to 2004, Block was part of a Federal Aviation Administration advisory group that inspected planes for cracked wiring.
Search for Flight 447 could be lengthy - USATODAY.com
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Old 06-02-2009, 07:54 AM
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Derbies found

La Grande Observer | Union and Wallowa Counties' News Leader - News
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Old 06-02-2009, 12:16 PM
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Backup systems on the A-330 are the best out there. Most likely explanation is rapid fire propagation. The fire sensros are mostly wehre the heavy electrical systems are and also link sensors to the hydraulics.

Lightning problems, very unlikely. Even our old C-5's take a beating over the mid east and never had any problems. Ask the Tanker drivers since they have to wait for us to make contact.

Number 1,2 and 3 ADIRU failed? very unlikely.

Stress fracture from aircraft unusual profile due to storms and other weather conditions? Very possible

Hopefully they recover the black box soon. I can't imagine what the families are going through.

Not sure where any comms would be. contact was brief.
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