It isn't going to happen by that year in all 50 states and with all PS agencies.
Not so much anymore. If an agency chooses to go P25, then the new radios have encryption pretty much standard, not at all an extra cost. Not so sure on DMR, or NXDN radios. At least on the "expensive" gear, as my lil ole RD-5R has encryption ability standard and its an under $75.00 radio.
Maybe in your neck of the woods, but that is certainly not universal. A number of brand new systems have come online in my area, and there is very little encryption in use, mostly reserved for sensitive/tactical talkgroups.Most new systems that are coming up under a county or regional multi-site simulcast system are going to go encrypted. These small counties that are joining these new systems are going to go encrypted right off the bat when they switch from VHF Conventional to 700/800 P25.
Maybe in your neck of the woods, but that is certainly not universal. A number of brand new systems have come online in my area, and there is very little encryption in use, mostly reserved for sensitive/tactical talkgroups.
As I've stated in other threads throughout the years, what is happening in your area doesn't necessarily apply to everywhere else.
I administer a radio system for a private corporation, with fire departments in 56 cities across the United States, and a combination of Motorola Astro and Trbo being connected via Zetron IP interface equipment. Two counties near me are going P25 Phase 2 and encrypted, which meant I had to lay in capable radio equipment as well.
I was tasked as I worked with P25 Phase 2 in the military in 2012-2013. The county plan was to encrypt everything, then just dispatch, now all of it is on hold as they can't even get codeplugs made for all the different users on schedule. What was supposed to be implemented in 2022, is now pushed out to 2023, and seeing the Motorola technicians assisting county radio personnel, it will be 2025 or later.
On my desk, I still have three old school analog only Radio Shack scanners: one Pro-2040 and two Pro-2032's, as well as a Technisonic TL-91-DE aviation radio. There is also a dedicated laptop with a RTL USB stick and an antenna in an office window. Along with SDR# and some plug-ins, I can still monitor P25 Phase 1, and analog comms within about twenty miles. There is still plenty to hear, to include law enforcement, border patrol, vessel traffic, railroad, aircraft. When the counties finally do go encrypted, I may need to upgrade a scanner, but in the meantime, I am not holding my breathe on encryption silencing everything.
My friend (who's also a sys admin) went to an APCO meeting way back and told me APCO wants most if not all public agencies to go encrypted by 2025. I don't know if this is true but is getting a $500+ scanner still worth it for the future (at least for monitoring local public safety agencies)?
Its not APCO who wants it, its Department of Homeland Security (DHS). To make things worse, theyll help pay the bill for any department to upgrade to P25II w/ encryption.
For now, theyre concentrating on law enforcement. When law enforcement is done then theyll concentrate on fire and EMS. The plan is to leave only interop/mutual aid channels in the clear.
We have a massive statewide EDACS system here in Nevada that houses all the state agencies and DHS is helping to upgrade it to P25II.
Nevada Shared Radio System (P25) Trunking System, Statewide, Nevada
Nevada Shared Radio System (P25) Trunking System Profilewww.radioreference.com
They were supposed to start the upgrade in 2019 but COVID-19 and the supply chain issues delayed it 2+ years. The system is now up and in the testing phase.
Back in 2011 when my county (DC suburbs) switched over to P25, everyone was told encryption was coming within a year or two. They slowly encrypted the tac channels and some other surveillance channels, but main dispatch channels have all remained clear right up until now and none are changing, at least, I hope. That's pretty much the case for all the cities and counties surrounding DC. Only the DC PD right now is encrypted as far as I can tell. And of course, some other LE agencies within DC.My friend (who's also a sys admin) went to an APCO meeting way back and told me APCO wants most if not all public agencies to go encrypted by 2025. I don't know if this is true but is getting a $500+ scanner still worth it for the future (at least for monitoring local public safety agencies)?
Depending on where you live, you may very well see encryption by 2025.
Or not.
..We have a massive statewide EDACS system here in Nevada that houses all the state agencies and DHS is helping to upgrade it to P25II...
So, for everyone debating whether or not the hobby is worth it there is your definitive, authoritative answer:
You should sell your radios.
Or not.
Keep in mind that EDACS is no longer supported by the manufacturers that brought it into being - General Electric and those who bought it as part of corporate acquisition - Ericsson and Harris. It was a system from the mid 1980s and has reached a practical EOL.
It also isn't owned by Mother M.
Just as a ps - Thru the year's,I have invested thousand's of dollar's into scanner's,receiver'2-way's,amateur gear,pager's,and the like.Just my thought. With the tenuous future of scanning,especially in the public safety sector, I am happy that I don't have a fortune tied up in radio's. I think the hay day of monitoring has passed us by. I think my next venture may be ham radio, with an intent of going digital. Yes, I know "we can all listen to aircraft,marine,ham etc", but my main interest lies in public safety monitoring.