ImTheWeasel
Member
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
512 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
512 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET....LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...OSAGE...WASHINGTON AND NOWATA COUNTIES.
DISCUSSION...
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...HOWEVER WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL
PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MID EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AHEAD
OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
BUILD SOUTH THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY MOVING INTO FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AFTER 900 PM. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN VERY UNSTABLE
OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS...THEREFORE ANY STORMS
THAT BUILD SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY BE
SEVERE WITH THE THREAT FOR NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWN-
BURST WINDS TO 70 MPH...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE OKLAHOMA...KANSAS
BORDER. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY
ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND COULD POSE A
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT GIVEN THE EXPECTED HIGH RAINFALL
RATES AND SLOW STORM MOTION.
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY HAVE FAR SOUTH THE THUNDERSTORMS
COMPLEX WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT...THEREFORE
PERSONS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECAST AS SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES MAY CHANGE AS THE
THUNDERSTORM EVOLUTION BECOMES MORE CERTAIN.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AFTER 900 PM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY LATE MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET WEAKENS.
FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE LIKELY TO OUR WEST ALONG THE DRY LINE AND SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY MAKE IT AS FAR EAST AS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THERE WILL BE SOME THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE
STORMS BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE ANY DETAILS AS TO THE
LOCATION AND EXTENT OF SEVERE STORMS THIS FAR EAST.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.
$$
View This Page-
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tsa/cgi-bin/decisionmaker.php
and this
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0437.html
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
512 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
512 PM CDT WED JUN 8 2005
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET....LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...OSAGE...WASHINGTON AND NOWATA COUNTIES.
DISCUSSION...
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...HOWEVER WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL
PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MID EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AHEAD
OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
BUILD SOUTH THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY MOVING INTO FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AFTER 900 PM. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN VERY UNSTABLE
OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS...THEREFORE ANY STORMS
THAT BUILD SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY BE
SEVERE WITH THE THREAT FOR NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWN-
BURST WINDS TO 70 MPH...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE OKLAHOMA...KANSAS
BORDER. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY
ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND COULD POSE A
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT GIVEN THE EXPECTED HIGH RAINFALL
RATES AND SLOW STORM MOTION.
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY HAVE FAR SOUTH THE THUNDERSTORMS
COMPLEX WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT...THEREFORE
PERSONS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECAST AS SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES MAY CHANGE AS THE
THUNDERSTORM EVOLUTION BECOMES MORE CERTAIN.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AFTER 900 PM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY LATE MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET WEAKENS.
FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE LIKELY TO OUR WEST ALONG THE DRY LINE AND SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY MAKE IT AS FAR EAST AS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THERE WILL BE SOME THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE
STORMS BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE ANY DETAILS AS TO THE
LOCATION AND EXTENT OF SEVERE STORMS THIS FAR EAST.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.
$$
View This Page-
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tsa/cgi-bin/decisionmaker.php
and this
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0437.html
