Do you guys think we will eventually see a migration away from the heavy VHF low band use? Especially in the Hudson Valley where it is used fairly heavily. (I think of Columbia, Greene, Ulster counties) who have main fire countywide operations on VHF Low Band.
I know that all three counties have VHF Hi Band for the sheriffs, so it would make one assume that VHF Hi Band would also work with the fire departments.
There isn't a magic pill for two-way radio.
If low band is still useful (isn't attenuated by building materials or limited by noisy, poorly shielded RF emitters) it has much greater usefulness than VHF high band. High band is a cesspool of stations on top of each other, excessive power and areas of operation, repeater outputs placed on the same freqeuncy as simplex operations and other systems' repeater inputs, and now digital systems possibly interacting with legacy analog systems. Narrowbanding won't make it better. The only systems that make out good on high band are the ones that have been there for decades and are busy enough for others to want to avoid them. Those systems are pretty much locked into whatever they already have. Resources to expand usually are limited, and, if they're north of Line A (as much of NY is), Canada returns a good amount of applications with "harmful interference anticipated" letters.
UHF is being eaten up by exclusive use FB8 (protected from co-channel and adjacent channel by exclusivity trunking) systems. The low power channels are limited to 6 W ERP (enough for handheld simplex), and the license applications I see mostly have areas of operation that greatly exceed their intended service area. Several consultants are pushing UHF trunked (and some are ballsy enough to try it for VHF, as well).
700 MHz isn't a one-size-fits-all. Regions 8, 30, and 55 (the 3 RPCs in NYS) have adopted a Byzantine method of computing engineering studies that is poorly understood (by everyone, including the RPCs). Those don't mesh with Region 19 (New England). Considering the bonanza of frequencies, there are really only a handful available to the various counties thanks to the planning and packing process, and those are usually held in abeyance for counties and not fire districts or municipalities. 800 is another mess between their RPCs and Sprint-Nextel rebanding. Not to mention, only a handful of channels allow analog operation on 700. Response could get away with P25 or some other digital format, but fireground has a long history of... issues.
See? Low band isn't looking so bad, after all. No narrowbanding, equipment could be individually-owned by volunteers (try asking your trunked radio system manager for an ID and their system key - he'd likely laugh you out of the room or have you arrested), and crowding issues have migrated to higher bands. All you have to worry about is where to get base station equipment from (nearly all of the manufacturers have deadlined their low band base stations as a marketing decision), RF noise from leaky microprocessor devices, "skip", materials attenuation, and inefficient portable radio operations. Six of one, half-a-dozen of the other to me.
I also read Peter Sz's post in his FireRad2 list about 1.9 GHz referring back to this thread. Peter - don't you know that the manufacturers, investors, legislators, and indian chiefs who couldn't tell a radio from a toaster-oven want this troublesome LMR stuff to go away? It's worth way more money auctioned off so Verizon and others could push Hulu and MyYearbook. In that 15 years they want everyone to be using subscription, consumer form-factored IP-based devices on LTE networks that won't allow direct unit-to-unit operations off-network (another "oops" that happens when manufacturers' engineers and marketers have no clue about what the people that they intend to use their products really need them for... when was the last time we saw that? Oh, yeah, something to do with digital and ambient noise you'd find when you're really using the stuff). If your department has to choose between paying for diesel fuel to run the trucks or heating oil to make sure tank water doesn't freeze, now you also have to remember to pay your radio bill.