Do not make that assumption. If guys are willing to spend thousands on HAM gear, and on actual commercial/public safety grade radios for monitoring, then they will spend the bucks on the new scanners. Even in areas where LEA's are full encryption, they get the scanners to monitor FD's etc. Stop being accentuated on the negative. Scanning is going to be a viable hobby for a very long time. There are even still areas where you can hear most comms on an analog conventional scanner. Granted, this is growing less and less, and will be over with once the next round of narrowbanding hits and forces everyone to be digital.I'm assuming that a lot of people no longer follow this hobby in Louisiana with the growing cost of new scanners as well as the sophistication of these new radio systems.
If you have a scanner that can pick up PII (GRE 800, new Unidens 436, 536 or possibly the new Whistlers) then you will be able to hear them. I live in an area where my local SO & PD are fully encrypted on a 700 system & still have several scanners that I listen to. There is a lot more to listen to than when I started to listen years ago.So when the phase II comes along can our scanners pick that up?