Solar Cycle 25

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air-scan

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Some may know that solar cycle activity (not yet flux) rise time begins with when we see longitudinal bright active regions emerge. Well this started happening 12 hours ago when a south east limb bright region emerged same longitude as the very bright north east limb active region. Keep checking the bands!20200516_034530_n7euA_2048.png
 

AK9R

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air-scan

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I heard from several ops in the central Indiana area that 6m was very active yesterday. I also saw many 6m spots on the cluster last night. That anecdotal evidence would seem to correlate with your post.

Some scientists are predicting that Solar Cycle 25 will peak in 2025. There's mention of this starting on page 45 of this Contest University presentation: https://www.contestuniversity.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/W2NAF-2020-Solar-Cycle-Update.pdf
People should consider having an open mind on the sun's activity cycles. Even be more objectionable against those so called predictions. Humanity hasn't even came close to knowing how to predict the sun. It'll take a lot more time, money, equipment sent into space for research. Many times the sun has made theories and predictions moot. SC24 was supposed to be stronger than it was but it wasn't as predicted. Not even their so called "window of error" is passable as a viable prediction. All it is is the ideology of solar cycle predictions and people not being patient enough to wait till more evidence arises. Settling for it because "it's all we got" just doesn't cut the cheese straight enough to call it a slice.

Best way is to watch and wait. The sun never has and never will work by human perception. Science is being way to impatient.

Longitudinal regions like this is in fact a signal of what's to come and that is SC25 rise time. It'l be a slow ramp up but it's there. Even Solar Irradiance on ESP went from 0.5 30 days ago to 0.9 a few days ago. Thats a considerable upward trend.

I do not trust any solar cycle predictions even if they are worded professionally. What looks good on paper may not be all that good sometimes. I seen some twitter posts from solar physicists that were so personal agenda biased, their science seemed like Frankenstein.

Watch and take notes. All we can do.
 
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