Solar minimum 2020???

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No one has made a comment here, and probably for a good reason- it is one heavy scientific venture into physics.
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There are some good sites to explore if one is really interest'd- but nothing can be made simple here- can we all say things like Total Electron Content, the Solar Extreme-Ultraviolet ? .... and other geeky talk ?....
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Heavy stuff, Cowboys-
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However, here's a place to start-- but take a deep breath first........
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https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
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Lauri :)
 

ka3jjz

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And how long this will last, or even if the next solar max will be stronger than the last one (which was, by some measures, the weakest in almost a century) is anyone's guess

Mike
 

w2xq

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My winnowed collection of propagation websites collected since 1993...

1. ISES
2. SWS - Radio and Space Services
3. https://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov
4. https://solarmonitor.org
5. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov -- and at least 7 subsections therein
6. SIDC - Solar Influences Data Center
7. Welcome / Bienvenue
8. SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
9. Tromsø Geophysical Observatory

The amateur radio websites:

1. SOLARHAM.com | Solar Cycle 24 | Space Weather and Amateur Radio Website
2. WM7D dot Net

Introduction to the subject:

1. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_weather
2. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ionosphere
3. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radio_propagation

And if you can find the April 1979 issue of Ham Radio Horizons and/or the September 1983 issue of CQ, therein there are "introduction to..." articles on the subject. For a laugh, a part 2 of the CQ article was published in the January 1985 issue CQ. It was a BASIC program to crunch the numbers broadcast by WWV at H+18.

HTH.
 

w2xq

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The highest solar maximum in my lifetime occurred in 1957-58. The IGY Propagation Resesrch Project run by Mason Southworth -- Mason P. Southworth, ex-W1VLH, SK; Headed ARRL IGY Propagation Project -- was a tremendous education for me. I think I still have the monthly newsletters. I saw the https://pwg.gsfc.nasa.gov/istp/outreach/events/58/#6 aurora in February 1958. It was so bright outdoors I could read a newspaper. A few years ago I learned that it was seen in the lit downtown streets of Havana. Amazing. A few 50 MHz cards... http://w2xq.com/qsl-igy.html
 

vagrant

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Thank you for the links. I would not have guessed an aurora would be observed that far south, without some major consequences. That would have been interesting to see, as well as making one anxious.

"The aurora was suddenly seen in Havana, Los Angeles, Washington, New York, and even from the S.S. President Taylor, off the coast of Mexico only eighteen degrees above the equator".

"Not just a pleasant red glow indicated the silent magnetic disturbance, however. The storm also interrupted communications all over. Radio waves, normally bounced off a quiet ionosphere to their targets, were being absorbed in a disturbed one."

"Western Union telegraph cables across the North Atlantic suffered serious interruptions from 9:01 until about 10:00. At 9:02, the North Atlantic became a 2650-volt battery, as a surge along the Bell System telephone cable from Newfoundland to Scotland turned eastbound voices into whispers. In Boston that night, two television stations swapped signals, flipping channels for viewers. Air-to-ground communication was disrupted for airplanes, forcing pilots to use each other as relay stations...". "Power difficulties, however, were minor: only Toronto fell briefly into darkness as Ontario's circuit breakers tripped."
 

w2xq

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Vagrant, I was 16 at the time, living in Hunterdon county at 40.4° N, northwest of Trenton, NJ. A dark sky, in the country just off the top of a ridge, the aurora went over the zenith to the southern horizon. Very beautiful, very amazing, all kinds of colors and something I will not forget..Needkess to say, 50 Mhz signals reflecting off the aurora were quite watery-sounding and shortwave reception on a Hallicrafters S-38 and an 8R40 were kaput. But I spent hours outside despite the cold... time well spent for a once in a lifetime event.
 

vagrant

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Thank you for recounting that experience. I quite enjoy analyzing the RF characteristics of various bands and configurations. One can research quite a bit, but testing one's own gear is crucial. It did not take long for me to realize that many amateur radio operators I have come across simply parrot what they hear, instead of critically thinking and testing for themselves.

I need to purchase a plot of land nearby and really go to town with experimenting.
 
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