Of course, having posted that, I was listening last night around midnight and everything seemed relatively normal. Definitely a lot more traffic than I'd heard in the last few days. Way to make a liar out of me, HP-1.
So one thing I did when I was trying to diagnose the quietness was to active the trunk analyzer activity log and look at the lower-level messages from the tower. I found that I would always see the P25 RSB, NSB and IU for nonVU messages almost instantly (I assume the system sends these continuously). This is what led me to believe that the scanner wasn't deaf. But then I'd see very very few GVCG/GVCGU (channel grant/update) messages and the ones I did see looked like the parameters were crazy--lots of high five-digit GADs. I also assume that the messages that are received and logged in the activity log passed their CRC checks so it's not a matter of poor reception corrupting the data. (PLEASE tell me the HP-1 does error correction and trellis decoding on the TPDU packets instead of deinterleaving the data and leaving it at that!) I don't know enough about the P25 messages yet to know if those kind of GADs are normal or not, so I'd have to do more research to be sure. If I ever notice the system in this state again, I'll hook up the 796D and see if it exhibits the same behavior on the system.
As an aside, the HP-1 is frustrating--great hardware with so much promise, marginal firmware. If only I could rewrite it...