Public Severe Weather Outlook: Updated
[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006
VALID 120946Z - 121745Z
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTBREAK EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSOURI AND MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE
LOWER MISSOURI AND MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
FAR SOUTHERN IOWA
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
MISSOURI
SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS INTO THE MID SOUTH
AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
A VOLATILE SITUATION IS EXPECTED TO UNFOLD OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE LOWER MISSOURI...MID MISSISSIPPI
AND OHIO RIVER VALLEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL
STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED JET MAX WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD AN
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST SURFACE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON. WE
EXPECT THAT SEVERAL AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE PERIOD. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT OF WHICH MAY OCCUR OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI/FAR SOUTHERN IOWA INTO WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AHEAD OF A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND ITS
ACCOMPANYING WARM FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AND RACE EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS
THROUGH THE EVENING IN THE FORM OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS...MANY OF
WHICH COULD BECOME QUITE STRONG AND LONG-LIVED. OTHER POTENTIALLY
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING ALONG A DRY LINE EXTENDING INTO FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS. THESE WILL SPREAD A THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING DAMAGING TORNADOES...ACROSS ARKANSAS INTO THE
MID SOUTH/LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE NIGHT.
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE
THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND
TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..EVANS.. 03/12/2006
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[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006
VALID 120946Z - 121745Z
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTBREAK EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSOURI AND MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE
LOWER MISSOURI AND MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
FAR SOUTHERN IOWA
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
MISSOURI
SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS INTO THE MID SOUTH
AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
A VOLATILE SITUATION IS EXPECTED TO UNFOLD OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE LOWER MISSOURI...MID MISSISSIPPI
AND OHIO RIVER VALLEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL
STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED JET MAX WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD AN
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST SURFACE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON. WE
EXPECT THAT SEVERAL AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE PERIOD. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT OF WHICH MAY OCCUR OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI/FAR SOUTHERN IOWA INTO WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AHEAD OF A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND ITS
ACCOMPANYING WARM FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AND RACE EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS
THROUGH THE EVENING IN THE FORM OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS...MANY OF
WHICH COULD BECOME QUITE STRONG AND LONG-LIVED. OTHER POTENTIALLY
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING ALONG A DRY LINE EXTENDING INTO FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS. THESE WILL SPREAD A THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING DAMAGING TORNADOES...ACROSS ARKANSAS INTO THE
MID SOUTH/LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE NIGHT.
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE
THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND
TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..EVANS.. 03/12/2006
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