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WOUS40 KWNS 141644
PWOSPC
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-150045-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 14 2006
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASING TONIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS
SOUTH TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
A VERY STRONG JET STREAM DISTURBANCE...WITH HIGH LEVEL WIND SPEEDS
ABOVE 130 MPH...WILL SWEEP RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES LATER TODAY...AND INTO OKLAHOMA...NORTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
THE DISTURBANCE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW
THAT WILL TRACK EAST ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING TO
CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY DAWN WEDNESDAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW WARM AND
UNSEASONABLY HUMID AIR NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO BENEATH THE
INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
AS THE WARM HUMID AIR ENCOUNTERS THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED WARM AND
COLD FRONTS...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WILL FORM OVER PARTS OF
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. WHILE SOME STORMS COULD
APPEAR AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON...MORE WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WINDS AND RICH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO THESE
STORMS...AND THE UPLIFT PROVIDED BY THE INTENSIFYING LOW...
SUPERCELL STORMS APPEAR LIKELY. SOME OF THESE ROTATING STORMS MAY
PRODUCE STRONG TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND AND HAIL GIVEN THE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT WILL BE PRESENT. THE PRIMARY TORNADO
THREAT WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER MORE ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS/TORNADOS COULD OCCUR BY THIS AFTERNOON VICINITY OF THE
WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD.
THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..HALES.. 11/14/2006
[/FONT]
WOUS40 KWNS 141644
PWOSPC
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-150045-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1044 AM CST TUE NOV 14 2006
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASING TONIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS
SOUTH TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
A VERY STRONG JET STREAM DISTURBANCE...WITH HIGH LEVEL WIND SPEEDS
ABOVE 130 MPH...WILL SWEEP RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES LATER TODAY...AND INTO OKLAHOMA...NORTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
THE DISTURBANCE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW
THAT WILL TRACK EAST ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING TO
CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY DAWN WEDNESDAY. THE LOW WILL DRAW WARM AND
UNSEASONABLY HUMID AIR NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO BENEATH THE
INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
AS THE WARM HUMID AIR ENCOUNTERS THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED WARM AND
COLD FRONTS...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WILL FORM OVER PARTS OF
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. WHILE SOME STORMS COULD
APPEAR AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON...MORE WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WINDS AND RICH MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO THESE
STORMS...AND THE UPLIFT PROVIDED BY THE INTENSIFYING LOW...
SUPERCELL STORMS APPEAR LIKELY. SOME OF THESE ROTATING STORMS MAY
PRODUCE STRONG TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND AND HAIL GIVEN THE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT WILL BE PRESENT. THE PRIMARY TORNADO
THREAT WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER MORE ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS/TORNADOS COULD OCCUR BY THIS AFTERNOON VICINITY OF THE
WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD.
THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..HALES.. 11/14/2006
[/FONT]
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