There are all kinds of things that affect VHF/UHF propagation and your not limited to 15% beyond the horizon. If you have not experienced this then where is the experience? BTW, GMRS is not limited to 20ft antenna height, you can put an antenna on a 64 story building, etc.
On example of beyond line of site on UHF is a GMRS repeater that was used by a hospital on a channel I was licensed for many years ago, they were grandfathered in and would not move to a more appropriate commercial frequency.
I had several GMRS repeaters on mountain tops in So Cal ranging from 1,100ft to 5.700ft and got appropriate coverage from them. However, the hospital repeater in the middle of flat Los Angeles could be heard clearly 150mi away in the CA desert on a regular basis and much farther than my high performance mountain top repeaters.
Turns out So Cal is in a basin, surrounded by a range of tall mountains and signals from low lying areas will knife edge scatter off the sharp rocky mountains out of the basin into the outlying desert areas where the high mountain top sites do not scatter as well off the distant mountains. Otherwise how would you explain a 50w UHF repeater reliably talking through a 5,000ft mountain range to a distance of about 150mi?
To finish the story, not that its relevant to the thread. My repeater partner helped the hospital get licensed on another frequency but they kept lying to him on the radio shop coming by to re channel the repeater and this went on for months. My partner finally went into the hospital with a hand cart, found the repeater in a top story room, ripped it out and dumped in the the guys office he was working with. Problem solved, no more hospital on our GMRS channel.....
prcguy
So, you want to be a snarky kid and ignore someone's practical hands-on experience and observation. If you have the cash for high dollar parabolic antenna arrays, microwave transmission towers, etc, there are a number of things you can do theoretically but you ARE NOT going to do these things with a 5 to 50 watt 64cm (GMRS) radio with a maximum normal antenna height of 20ft.
So, in the context of GMRS, everything I said is absolutely spot on.