If I go at midnight into the crime-ridden "hood" vs to a middle-class neighborhood 15 miles away, the probability of becoming a victim of crime increases immensely in the hood. So if 15 miles can alter probability, so would the width of an ocean alter probability. What applies to one neighborhood does NOT apply to ALL neighborhoods. Taking that a step further, what applies to one country, doesn't apply to all countries. Your logic is flawed.What does nationality have to do with Logic and Probability? If "one in a million" applies in one country, it applies world wide.