I am waiting for Black Friday. I was told by someone that these will be 2100 before Christmas. Icom always gets a high price in the beginning because they know people like you all will pay the higher rate and can't wait. I will take the wait time and get it in November.
These kinds of things always drop off in price after they have been on the market for a while. Early adopters always pay a bit of a premium. Personally I doubt it will be $2100 by Christmas, but I bet it is under $2300 around then. I think this receiver will probably stable out at about $2000+/- after it has been on the market a while, say 12 to 24 months.
The question to the early adopter is, are you willing to miss out on the use between now and the time it hits its long term stable price? Is that savings worth waiting for in the users eyes?
I had made the decision to wait myself after the $2600 price came out. I told my wife I was putting off the purchase until the price came down some. She asked how much it would come down and when, and when I told her I don't know, nobody does, but probably no more than $500-$600 in the next year or so she put it in perspective for me.
If the price drops $500 in the next 12 months that is maybe $42 a month...about the cost of the two of us going out to casual dinner one time each of those months, or a box of ammo. Will I get the equivalent of at least one dinner a month, or using one box of ammo a month, enjoyment out of using the radio over the next 12 months? Probably. So I could wait, and save the money, or I could get it now and enjoy it now and for the next 12 months, for about the cost of one box of ammo each month. I would not give buying that ammo a second thought, why should I be so concerned over possible, not guaranteed, savings of that amount? If I use the radio two hours each month I have gotten more use out of the radio than the ammo.
It is like when any new device comes on the market, you can wait until the price bottoms out or you can get it and use it while others are waiting for the price to bottom out. I most often wait a bit myself, at least until the initial surge of early buyers is over and the price starts to drop a bit, but in this case she talked me into getting it now.
T!